The Dutchman has attracted criticism for the club's tactics this season but United currently lie fourth with 11 games left to play, while Arsenal's form has seen them overcome a worst ever start to a Premier League season to sit third.
Sixth-placed Liverpool are the form team in the top flight, having taken 26 points from a possible 30 over their last 10 games while Southampton's win over Crystal Palace sees them a point adrift of United in fifth.
Tottenham, meanwhile, are seventh and lie six points behind United, though Mauricio Pochettino's men have a game in hand.
Arsene Wenger previously predicted that it would take 72 points to guarantee a top-four finish this term, which Van Gaal is unsure of, but he is not expecting anything to be confirmed until May.
When questioned on Wenger's comments, Van Gaal told reporters: "I don't think of how many points. But he is more experienced in the Premier League so I want to believe him.
"It is going to the last week, I know that."
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